Wednesday, June 22, 2011

An Analysis of Relative Market Value

Many girls complain that the value of the fair sex on the dating market declines rapidly with age after 30 or so. This is one reason why if you ask a woman her age you may find yourself in the intensive care unit not long afterward.

I admit that it is, generally speaking, true that the market value of females go down faster than males as age advances. However, there is a flip side to this that we do not often pay attention to.

Because of this, women have much higher dating value than men early on. Why is this so? Due to the law of supply and demand.

Think of it this way:

A woman's peak period on the dating market is, let's say, 20 to 30. A man's may be from, let's say, 20 to 40.

If we analyze this situation carefully, we will find that due to this disparity in lengths of peak periods, there will be twice the number of men than women on the peak dating market. By the law of supply and demand, the dating value for women during this period will be twice as high as men on average.

Of course, this analysis is oversimplified. Marriage takes both sides out of the dating market as time goes on. However, men tend to marry a few years later than women on average.

So let us make a simple model.

Say there are 100 men and 100 women in society from the age of 20-30, and another 100 men and 100 women from the age of 30-40.

If no one is married, there will be 200 guys chasing after 100 women, as the 100 women over 30 are out. (In real life this is of course not the case, but this is a simplified model.)

(NOTE: OF COURSE PEOPLE STILL WANT TO MARRY WOMEN OVER 30 DAMMIT, I JUST MEAN MORE MEN FOCUS ON THOSE YOUNGER GIRLS. I AM LAZY TO USE RELATIVE WEIGHTAGE MODELLING TECHNIQUES ON SOMETHING THAT WILL NOT MAKE ME MONEY.)

At this point, the value of a woman on the dating market is exactly twice that of a man.

Let us factor in the effect of marriage now.

Since women get married earlier then men on average, let us assume that 40 percent of the women between 20-30 are married, while 20 percent of the men between 20-30 are married.

This leaves us 60 women and 80 men between 20-30.

For the men between 30-40, a higher proportion will be married, say 50 percent. This leaves 50 men in that age group.

So, there will be 60 women to 80+50 = 130 men on the dating market. If we divide 130 by 60, it gives an average woman 2.16 times the dating value of an average man.

See! It's not all that bad for ladies right?

2 comments:

  1. me : well the truth is the desirable girls are only 10% or less of the remaining girls
    so u have over 130 guys oggling over 3 girls or so
    billy :HAHAHHAHAHHAA i see your point
    but the opposite applies too what for guys
    hahaha but maybe a ton of girls ogling over a few guys
    me :we're talking bout market value of girls to most guys so therefore my arguement stands . we all have our dreams :)

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